Exploring Possibility Space

Musings on risk, innovation, data science & my PhD dissertation

Wednesday, May 6, 2020

Look Papa! I'm on the Loopcast! -- Talking complexity, simulation, black swans, randomness, resilience, and institutional innovation

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If you have a spare 1 hr 40 min. *, you might want to listen my interview on the "Loopcast" podcast (below).  The host is Sina Ka...
Monday, May 4, 2020

S4x20 Video: Lessons Learned from Norsk Hydro on Loss Estimation and Cyber Insurance

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I gave a talk at S4X20 in January on the Norsk Hydro ransomware attack.  The full video has now been posted on YouTube: Like all grea...
Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Splattered Swan: Collateral Damage, Friendly Fire, and Mis-fired Mega-systems

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Like Curly from the "Three Stooges" said, "I'm a victim of circumstances!" There is a type of "...Swan...

Swarm-as-Swan: Surprising Emergent Order or Aggregate Action

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A flock of swans in swan-shaped formation In complex systems with many interacting elements or agents, most of the time the actions of i...
Tuesday, January 21, 2020

S4x20 Presentation

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I am presenting today, January 21, at the S4x20 conference , 3:30-4pm on the Main Stage. Here are my slides and notes .   Here is a pape...
Monday, November 25, 2019

Talk Like a Cyber Insurance Risk Analyst

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In a recent class on catastrophe risk modeling, I learned the definition of terms that are common in insurance but not so well understood el...
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Friday, June 14, 2019

RESET: "Data-driven Security Smashup" will launch in Fall 2019

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Big change of plans for the " Data-driven Security Smashup ": We are canceling the live event in Las Vegas, August 3 - 5.  Inst...
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